Establishing the so-called A2/AD no-access zone is the most pragmatic way for a successful counteroffensive of the Armed Forces
The Ukrainian army proceeded to implement the most pragmatic plan, which was already demonstrated during the liberation of Zmiiny Island. We are talking about the establishment of the so-called A2/AD access prohibition zone.
The fact is that the entire grouping of the Russian army on the right bank is held on three bridges: road and railway in Kherson and road in Novaya Kakhovka through the HPP. All of them are now in the range of GMLRS high-precision missiles that use HIMARS and M270.
Yesterday, July 18, the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed the air defense positions of the Russian Army in the area of the HPP in Nova Kakhovka with a high-precision strike.
Today, the Antonivskyi road bridge near Kherson came under attack. The impact fell on the western part of the structure, which is above the ground.
Also, a video of the immediate consequences of this strike has already been published. The rocket hit with a deviation of 30-50 cm from the center line of the marking and pierced the canvas.
Later, another slightly more detailed video appeared, showing the second two punctures in the central part of the canvas.
Of course, one or two 90-kg warheads of the M31A missile cannot physically destroy such a capital structure, but the question is the methodical nature of such strikes. Moreover, regarding the destruction of crossings, the main condition is to keep them under constant fire control. Because bridge repair is a matter that is resolved within days, and in case of extremely severe damage, it takes several weeks.
And this is not to mention the organization of a temporary crossing. We should remind you that the width of the Dnipro in the area between Kherson and Novaya Kakhovka at its narrowest point is 500 meters. And the army of the Russian Federation publicly practiced the creation of pontoon crossings of this length and even longer during exercises. Moreover, the Armed Forces worked out its creation in 2016.
That is, the destruction of the bridge without constant fire is only a delay, and not the absolute impossibility of support. And we are talking only about the pontoon crossing, and there are also ferries, the deployment of which is even faster.
At the same time, the Armed Forces now have the opportunity to fire control all existing and possible crossings of the Russian army across the Dnipro. And on land, what was successfully implemented with Zmiiny Island began – the cutting of logistics.
That is, there are parallel strikes on communications, ammunition bases and enemy concentrations, which puts the Russian army group in an extremely “interesting” and convenient position for the Armed Forces. By the way, at the same time as the attack on the Antonivskyi bridge, fire was again inflicted on Chornobayivka, so it is quite possible that this is the work of one “package” from one HIMARS.
Of course, organizing an A2/AD zone on land is much more difficult than with an island. But it is precisely this pragmatic way of remote fire damage that is one of the most likely scenarios for the effective liberation of the south .
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